Question

If one or more HEMP attacks occur by 2030, will that lead to >10 million fatalities?

3
Total Forecasters25
Community Prediction
31%
(20% - 40%)

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50%
community: 31%
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Authors:
MetaculusOutlookshavlickova.blanka
Opened:Oct 28, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Feb 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 30, 2021
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
United States