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3
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26
forecasters
If one or more HEMP attacks occur by 2030, will that lead to >10 million fatalities?
26%
chance
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Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
havlickova.blanka
Opened:
Oct 28, 2021
Closes:
Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:
Feb 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:
Oct 30, 2021
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
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