174 comments

850 forecasters

If the 2024 US Presidential Election is Trump vs. Biden, will Trump win?

86%chance

86%chance

Ambiguous

Ambiguous

The community gave this a 86% chance, and it resolved Ambiguous.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Nov 17, 2021

Closes:

Nov 8, 2024

Resolved:

Nov 7, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 18, 2021

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