Question

Will more than 50% of US adults own a personal augmented reality device by 2050?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters61

Community Prediction

63%

(45% - 82%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 63%

Authors:

RyanBeck A_R Matej erikhoel

Opened:

Jan 19, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2049

Scheduled resolution:

Feb 1, 2050

Sports & Entertainment

Computing and Math

Virtual reality

Information technology

United States

Augmented reality

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will at least 1% of people in any major city or country have experienced using augmented reality outside?

Nov 2029

When will 6DoF enabled virtual and augmented reality headset sales exceed 50 million units per year?

Nov 2030

Will Meta report 1 billion active users by December 31, 2031?

23%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck A_R Matej erikhoel

Opened:

Jan 19, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2049

Scheduled resolution:

Feb 1, 2050

Sports & Entertainment

Computing and Math

Virtual reality

Information technology

United States

Augmented reality

Palmer Luckey's take on the 'ludicrously expensive' Vision Pro

Business Insider•Mar 19, 2025

Apple is having a rough 2025 so far. But it’s not all doom and gloom

CNN•Mar 19, 2025

Apple is becoming a utility. That's hard for fanboys to take.

Business Insider•Mar 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will at least 1% of people in any major city or country have experienced using augmented reality outside?

Nov 2029

When will 6DoF enabled virtual and augmented reality headset sales exceed 50 million units per year?

Nov 2030

Will Meta report 1 billion active users by December 31, 2031?

23%