🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between November 12th, 2021 and February 4th, 2022?

Resolved :Nov 16, 20212021-12-27
3
2
Total Forecasters23
Community Prediction2021-12-27 (2021-11-25 - 2022-01-24)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
2021-11-25 00:11
2021-12-27 00:20
2022-01-24 14:01

What was the final result?Nov 16, 2021

Community Baseline Score
69.2
Community Peer Score
43.8
Authors:
srinivv
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 1
Health & Pandemics
2021 Leaderboard
Virginia
Virginia Department of Health
Public health
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology

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