Question
When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between November 12th, 2021 and February 4th, 2022?
Resolved:16 Nov 2021Total Forecasters23
Community Prediction
27 Dec 2021
(25 Nov 2021 - 24 Jan 2022)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 25 Nov 2021 | — |
| median | 27 Dec 2021 | — |
| upper 75% | 24 Jan 2022 | — |
What was the final result?16 Nov 2021
Community Peer Score
43.8
Community Baseline Score
69.2
Authors:
Opened:Nov 12, 2021
Closes:Dec 3, 2021
Resolves:Feb 3, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 21, 2021
Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?
44%
Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?
35.4%
How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?
111k
Authors:
Opened:Nov 12, 2021
Closes:Dec 3, 2021
Resolves:Feb 3, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 21, 2021
Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?
44%
Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?
35.4%
How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?
111k