On August 25, 2020, amid the unrest in Kenosha, Wisconsin after the police shooting of Jacob Blake, Kyle Rittenhouse, a 17-year-old from Antioch, Illinois, shot and killed two men and wounded another man in the arm during confrontations at two locations.
Rittenhouse was subsequently charged with multiple felonies in connection with these events, and is currently on trial. Rittenhouse is presumed innocent until proven guilty, and has pleaded not guilty to all of the charges.
Rittenhouse is charged with two counts of first-degree intentional homicide, one count of attempted first-degree homicide, two counts of first-degree recklessly endangering safety, and one misdemeanour count of possession of a dangerous weapon by a person under age 18. This misdemeanour charge is not relevant to this question, but is mentioned here for completeness.
Short-fuse: Will Kyle Rittenhouse be convicted on any pending felony charges in connection to the 2020 Kenosha unrest before 2022?
This question resolves positively if before 1 January 2022, Rittenhouse is convicted on any of the previously enumerated felony charges against him. These are the two counts of first-degree intentional homicide, the single count of attempted first-degree homicide, and the two counts of first-degree recklessly endangering safety. A conviction on any other charges, felony or misdemeanour, is irrelevant to the resolution of this question.
The question will resolve negatively if this does not happen, including if there is a mistrial and any subsequent retrial on these charges does not result in a conviction on at least one of the felony charges before January 1, 2022.
This question closes retroactively to the moment the jury are instructed to deliberate on any felony charge in this case, or the moment the jury is directed to deliver a particular verdict on any felony charge, or the moment all felony charges are dismissed, or the moment any plea on a felony charge is changed to guilty, whichever happens earlier.
Note that this question is strictly a prediction as to what will happen, and not a statement or assertion in relation to Rittenhouse's actual guilt or innocence.