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354 forecasters
By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Nov 22, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolved:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 22, 2021