Question

Conditional on New START not being renewed or replaced by another similar treaty after February 2026, will there be a nuclear exchange between Russia and the US by 2035?

1
Total Forecasters26
Community Prediction
5%
(2% - 6%)

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Authors:
havlickova.blanka
Opened:Nov 18, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2034
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2034
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 20, 2021
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks