8 forecasters

What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by the US by 2050 will be on cities with >1500 people per km^2?

Current estimate

0.0269%

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Authors:

Opened:

Nov 18, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2049

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2049

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 20, 2021