Question

Will a non-state actor have acquired a nuclear weapon from a state by 2030?

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Total Forecasters41
Community Prediction
2%
(1% - 4%)

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Authors:
havlickova.blanka
Opened:Nov 18, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2029
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 20, 2021
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks