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Will a non-state actor develop their own nuclear weapon by 2030?
11
34 comments
34
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Total Forecasters
118
Community Prediction
1%
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Background Info
Histogram
median
1.0%
mean
3.4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Authors:
havlickova.blanka
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Environmental science
Nuclear terrorism
Nuclear proliferation
Nuclear winter
Project Sapphire
Nuclear Science and Techniques
Al-Qaeda
Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant
Dirty bomb
Nuclear weapon
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Authors:
havlickova.blanka
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Environmental science
Nuclear terrorism
Nuclear proliferation
Nuclear winter
Project Sapphire
Nuclear Science and Techniques
Al-Qaeda
Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant
Dirty bomb
Nuclear weapon
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
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