Question

Will a non-state actor develop their own nuclear weapon by 2030?

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34
Total Forecasters119
Community Prediction
1%
(0.8% - 2%)

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50%
community: 1%
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Authors:
havlickova.blanka
Opened:Nov 18, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2034
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 19, 2021
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks