Question

How many interstellar objects will be identified by the Vera Rubin Observatory is its first two years of observations?

Total Forecasters13
Community Prediction
2.69 objects
(1.24 objects - 5.6 objects)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<118.6%
Quartiles
lower 25%1.237
median2.695
upper 75%5.603
Upper bound
>1000.5%
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Opened:Dec 2, 2021
Closes:Jan 2, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 4, 2021