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7
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90
forecasters
Will China reach 1,000 nuclear warheads by 2030?
70%
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Authors:
PhilippSchoenegger
Opened:
Nov 22, 2021
Closes:
Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:
Nov 24, 2021
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Geopolitics
News Match
How China Raced Ahead of the U.S. on Nuclear Power
New York Times
•
Oct 23, 2025
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about Metaculus NewsMatch
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