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17 forecasters
Will a federal law imposing disbursement requirements on donor-advised fund accounts pass in the United States before 2031?
19%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 21, 2021
Closes:Jan 24, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 23, 2021
Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?
2% chance
167
Before 2035, will the major science funding agencies NIH and NSF require formal reporting of AI involvement in research outputs as a condition of funding?
60% chance
36
Will legislation pass before 2029 that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest income bracket?
80% chance
11