38 forecasters

Will the US President’s ability to deploy military force be further restricted by 2030?

25%chance

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Authors:

Opened:

Nov 22, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 22, 2021

Why Trump's illegal war on 'drug boats' was inevitable

MSNBC•Oct 25, 2025

U.S. deploys aircraft carrier to Caribbean as strikes on suspected drug boats intensify

PBS NewsHour•Oct 25, 2025

Trump won’t go to Congress over war with drug cartels: ‘They’re gonna be, like, dead’

Independent•Oct 24, 2025

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