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3
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47
forecasters
Will space debris cause at least one fatality in space before 2035?
7%
chance
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Authors:
Kostas
Opened:
Dec 23, 2021
Closes:
Dec 31, 2034
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 31, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:
Dec 25, 2021
Economy & Business
Technology
Space
News Match
Grounded in Orbit: China’s Astronauts and the Invisible Risk of Space Junk
PJ Media
•
Nov 18, 2025
Space debris leaves astronauts stranded on Chinese space station.
USA Today
•
Nov 15, 2025
Stranded Chinese astronauts finally escape station… but now three MORE are trapped in space with no way to get home
Daily Mail
•
Nov 14, 2025
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