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18 forecasters
What will be the largest single-year population decline between 2021 to 2120?
Current estimate
2.02%
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 26, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2069
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2121
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 28, 2021
What will be the maximum global single-year death toll attributable to a single pandemic between 2022 to 2121?
38.2M deaths
(11.8M - 100M)
38.2M deaths
(11.8M - 100M)
22 forecasters
How much will world population decline after World War 3, if such a war happens by 2050?
4.23%
(1.18 - 35.5)
4.23%
(1.18 - 35.5)
27 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if a natural pandemic catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
1% chance
20