27 comments
69 forecasters
[Short-fuse] What will the % per-day growth rate advantage of Omicron relative to Delta be based on information available as of 23 December?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Nov 27, 2021
Closes:Dec 13, 2021
Resolved:Mar 20, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 27, 2021
How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026?
47.3 Deaths
(43.6 - 56.5)
47.3 Deaths
(43.6 - 56.5)
155 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
8% chance
161
How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?
115k deaths/year
(87.5k - 206k)
115k deaths/year
(87.5k - 206k)
88 forecasters