84 comments
348 forecasters
Will the Omicron variant be more lethal than Delta?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Nov 27, 2021
Closes:Feb 1, 2022
Resolved:Jul 8, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 27, 2021
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?
22.8% chance
225
How many named variants of SARS-COV-2 in its first 10 years?
18 variants
(15.3 - 23.4)
18 variants
(15.3 - 23.4)
18 forecasters
How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?
115k deaths/year
(87.5k - 206k)
115k deaths/year
(87.5k - 206k)
87 forecasters