Question
What will be The Economist's estimated global excess deaths due to COVID-19 on January 1, 2023?
Resolved:21MTotal Forecasters37
Community Prediction
21.5M
(20.8M - 23.3M)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <17M | 2.5% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 20.76M | — |
| median | 21.51M | — |
| upper 75% | 23.26M | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >50M | 0.3% | — |
What was the final result?21M
Community Baseline Score
9.7
Community Peer Score
13.5
Authors:
Opened:Dec 1, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 3, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Dec 1, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 3, 2021