10 comments
55 forecasters
Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025?
0.1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Feb 1, 2022
Closes:Dec 30, 2024
Resolved:Jan 23, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 3, 2022
When will the US break up Meta Platforms?
>01 Jan 2030
(25 Jan 2029 - >01 Jan 2030)
>01 Jan 2030
(25 Jan 2029 - >01 Jan 2030)
26 forecasters
If Trump is elected president in 2024, will AI foundation model reporting requirements remain in place in the US at the end of 2025?
5% chance
78
Will the US break up Google before 1 January 2026?
0.1% chance
147