Question

What total mass (in tonnes) of space debris will be removed by active measures by 2040?

Total Forecasters10
Community Prediction
11.2 t
(1.55 t - 337 t)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<1 t19.0%
Quartiles
lower 25%1.546 t
median11.2 t
upper 75%336.6 t
Upper bound
>1000 t15.3%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Jan 26, 2022
Closes:Dec 30, 2039
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 28, 2022