276 forecasters

Will Russia annex any part of any Baltic country by 2035?

5%chance

Forecast Timeline

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Dec 21, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 21, 2021

Russian Drones May Have Entered Another NATO Member's Airspace

Newsweek•Sep 15, 2025

Poland shoots down Russian drones: Will NATO enter war in Ukraine?

Al Jazeera•Sep 10, 2025

Europe floods its borders to stop Russia: Finland and Poland turn frontiers into anti-tank swamps as Germany warns Ukraine is 'just the start of Putin's plans for conquest' and EU stockpiles food

Daily Mail•Sep 9, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch