55 forecasters

When will the EU pass the AI Act?

community

30 May 2024

result

21 May 2024 16:00

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Dec 21, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Resolved:

May 21, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 23, 2021

Regulation of AI

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Congress Weighs New Limits On Advanced AI Chips

Forbes•Sep 15, 2025

California lawmakers pass AI safety bill SB 53 — but Newsom could still veto

TechCrunch•Sep 14, 2025

FTC launches inquiry into AI ‘companion’ chatbots from seven tech companies

CNN•Sep 11, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?

Will any 100% AI-generated legislation be passed in the U.S. before 2040?