Question

What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between Dec 3rd, 2021 and February 25th, 2022?

Resolved:1837

4 comments4

Total Forecasters27

Community Prediction

1809

(1537 - 1845)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	1537	1809	1845
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	1537	—
median	1809	—
upper 75%	1845	—

What was the final result?1837

Community Baseline Score

115.0

Community Peer Score

76.1

Authors:

srinivv

Opened:

Dec 3, 2021

Closes:

Dec 24, 2021

Resolves:

Mar 4, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 12, 2021

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making

Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 2

Health & Pandemics

2021 Leaderboard

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43%

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

35.4%

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

0.1%