🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What will be the percentage of the 5-11 year olds vaccinated with at least one dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on December 31st, 2021?

Resolved :31.531.4
2
21
Total Forecasters30
Community Prediction31.4 (30.4 - 32.6)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>75
...
...
...
...
30.44
31.41
32.58
0.3%

What was the final result?31.5

Community Baseline Score
105.1
Community Peer Score
21.7
Authors:
srinivv
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 2
Health & Pandemics
2021 Leaderboard
Virginia
Food and Drug Administration
Virginia Department of Health
COVID-19 vaccine
Medicine
Immunology
Virology
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

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