Question

What will be the percentage of the 5-11 year olds vaccinated with at least one dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on December 31st, 2021?

Resolved:31.5

21 comments21

Total Forecasters30

Community Prediction

31.4

(30.4 - 32.6)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>75
community	30.44	31.41	32.58	0.3%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	30.44	—
median	31.41	—
upper 75%	32.58	—
Upper bound
>75	0.3%	—

What was the final result?31.5

Community Baseline Score

105.1

Community Peer Score

21.7

Authors:

srinivv

Opened:

Dec 3, 2021

Closes:

Dec 24, 2021

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 12, 2021

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making

Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 2

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