🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 31st of December, 2021?

Resolved :Above upper bound5.71k
3
18
Total Forecasters31
Community Prediction5.71k (4.69k - 6k)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>6k
...
...
...
...
4.686k
5.714k
>6k
41.6%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score
-28.1
Community Peer Score
81.7
Authors:
srinivv
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 2
Health & Pandemics
2021 Leaderboard
Virginia
Virginia Department of Health
Public health
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology

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