Question

What will be the percentage of the population vaccinated with at least one dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on December 31st, 2021?

Resolved:77.3

7 comments7

Total Forecasters33

Community Prediction

77.2

(76.8 - 77.6)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	76.81	77.17	77.57
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	76.81	—
median	77.17	—
upper 75%	77.57	—

What was the final result?77.3

Community Baseline Score

110.0

Community Peer Score

54.5

Authors:

srinivv

Opened:

Dec 3, 2021

Closes:

Dec 24, 2021

Resolves:

Jan 3, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 12, 2021

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making

Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 2

Health & Pandemics

2021 Leaderboard

What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2028-2029 school year?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

43%

What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2029-2030 school year?

90.5