In December 2021, it was reported that China’s Yutu 2 rover has imaged a "mystery object" on the horizon in Von Kármán crater on the far side of the moon.

The object is described as 'cube-shaped,' and was imaged at a distance of around 80 metres (260 ft). Space.com reports that "Team scientists have expressed a strong interest in the object and Yutu 2 is now expected to spend the next 2-3 lunar days (2-3 Earth months) traversing lunar regolith and avoiding craters to get a closer look, so updates can be expected."

Will the "Moon Cube" be shown to be non-natural before 2023?

This question resolves positively if before 1 January 2023, the "Moon Cube" is generally considered, in the judgment of Metaculus moderators, to be a non-natural object (i.e. a human-made object, or an object appearing to have been created or shaped by intelligent means). If the object is generally considered to be a natural object, such as a rock formation, this question resolves negatively. If there is no general consensus, the question resolves ambiguously.