Question

Will Meta Platforms (Facebook) sell Instagram or WhatsApp before 2025?

Resolved:No

8 comments8

Total Forecasters91

Community Prediction

(1% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 2%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

83.6

Community Peer Score

21.1

Authors:

Opened:

Feb 19, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 20, 2022

Economy & Business

Technology

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Meta Stock Surges 18% as WhatsApp Launches AI Message Summaries

•Jun 25, 2025

US House Of Representatives Reportedly Bans WhatsApp Over Security Concerns

•Jun 23, 2025

@hosun_chung The UK antitrust authority forced Meta to sell Giphy because, according to them, by controlling Giphy's API, Meta could harm competitors, but I bet no one will block this acquisition

•Jun 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the US break up Meta Platforms?

>01 Jan 2030

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Before March 1, 2026, will Meta settle the lawsuit brought by state attorneys general alleging the platform(s) were designed to foster compulsive use by minors?

60%