Question

When will one or more Australian governments stop celebrating Australia Day on the 26th of January?

Total Forecasters20
Community Prediction
04 Jan 2030
(01 Jul 2027 - Sep 2034)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%01 Jul 2027
median04 Jan 2030
upper 75%Sep 2034
Upper bound
>Jul 204117.0%
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 6, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Mar 2, 2041
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 8, 2022