14 comments
48 forecasters
What will the estimated number of people (in millions) in severe food insecurity be in 2022, according to the 2023 FAO “State of food security and nutrition in the world” annual report?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 13, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolved:Jul 12, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 15, 2021
If there's a 10% global agricultural shortfall by 2030, will this cause >400 million fatalities?
34.7% chance
32
Five years after AGI, what % of people will be living in extreme poverty?
6.68%
(1.09 - 8.83)
6.68%
(1.09 - 8.83)
34 forecasters
What will the world rice yield be (in tonnes per hectare) in the following years?
53 forecasters