Question

Will Omicron be the most dominant sequenced strain of SARS-CoV-2 on December 31, 2022?

Resolved:Yes

42 comments42

Total Forecasters348

Community Prediction

99%

(99% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

36.7

Community Baseline Score

-5.0

Authors:

TomL

Opened:

Dec 11, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Jan 7, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 11, 2021

Global Trends 2022

Health & Pandemics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

How many named variants of SARS-COV-2 in its first 10 years?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

44%

Authors:

TomL

Opened:

Dec 11, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Jan 7, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 11, 2021

Global Trends 2022

Health & Pandemics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

How many named variants of SARS-COV-2 in its first 10 years?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

44%