Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
1.9k
1.2k
forecasters
237
1.9k comments
1.2k forecasters
2022 Scott Alexander predictions
3 more...
Will Russia invade Ukrainian territory before 2023?
Follow
share
embed
Resolved
Yes
Timeline
Histogram
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (1861)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
17 comments
224 forecasters
Ukraine takes control of Donetsk and Luhansk?
4%
chance
10 comments
77 forecasters
Will Russia invade another European country before the following years?
2027
3%
2030
7%
2035
15%
57 comments
291 forecasters
Russian Annexation in the Baltics Before 2035
4%
chance
32 comments
158 forecasters
Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?
5%
chance
5 comments
85 forecasters
Kuril Islands Lost by Russia by 2028
1%
chance
14 comments
111 forecasters
Ukrainian territory lost in 2029?
99%
chance
23 comments
174 forecasters
Russian Territory Loss >20% by 2028
1%
chance
18 comments
153 forecasters
Ukraine Joins Russian Union State before 2040
2%
chance