Question
When will the first human baby be born, whose embryo was polygenically selected from a cohort of at least 50 simultaneously obtained ova?
Total Forecasters36
Community Prediction
Oct 2034
(14 Sep 2028 - May 2043)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <29 Dec 2021 | 3.8% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 14 Sep 2028 | — |
| median | Oct 2034 | — |
| upper 75% | May 2043 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2071 | 5.5% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 7, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Jan 7, 2072
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 9, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Jan 7, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Jan 7, 2072
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 9, 2022
