Question
When will a reusable single-stage-to-orbit vehicle deliver a payload to orbit?
Total Forecasters17
Community Prediction
>Jan 2036
(Aug 2035 - >Jan 2036)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Aug 2035 | — |
| median | >Jan 2036 | — |
| upper 75% | >Jan 2036 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2036 | 72.5% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 26, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 28, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Jan 26, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 28, 2022