11 comments
47 forecasters
Will the US Senate vote to keep net neutrality
55%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 55% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:May 10, 2018
Closes:May 16, 2018
Resolved:May 16, 2018
Spot Scoring Time:May 10, 2018
Will the US Senate weaken or eliminate the filibuster before January 3, 2029?
20% chance
340
Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?
50% chance
100
Will the One Big Beautiful Bill Act contain a 5+ year AI moratorium provision and be signed into law before July 2026?
0.1% chance
19