130 forecasters

Will China's GDP grow in Q2 to Q4 2022?

90%chance

90%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 90% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Dec 27, 2021

Closes:

Apr 1, 2023

Resolved:

Mar 31, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 29, 2021

Future Perfect 2022 Series

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Chinese economy weakens as consumer spending and factory output slows

Guardian•Sep 15, 2025

China's economic slowdown deepens in August with retail sales, industrial output missing expectations

NBC•Sep 15, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch