17 comments
137 forecasters
Will any nation have less than 10% of their population vaccinated with at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine on December 31, 2022?
99%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 27, 2021
Closes:Feb 28, 2023
Resolved:Jan 7, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 29, 2021
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
7% chance
159
If a global catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
10% chance
42
What percentage of world GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2030?
2.78%
(2.23 - 3.7)
2.78%
(2.23 - 3.7)
22 forecasters