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265 forecasters

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265 forecasters

2022 Scott Alexander predictions

Will 2022 be warmer than 2021?

ResolvedYes

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

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46 comments104 forecasters

Which will be the warmest year on record according to NASA?

2024result: Yes

5 comments693 forecasters

Global temperature anomaly in 2026?

Current estimate

6 comments54 forecasters

Longbets: At least 2C of Warming by 2037

8 comments148 forecasters

3.6°C Global Warming by 2100

17 comments140 forecasters

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Current estimate

1 comment21 forecasters

US Annual CO2 Emissions With Land Use Change?

4 comments18 forecasters

Maximum Arctic Sea Ice Extent

19 comments38 forecasters

Minimum Arctic Sea Ice Extent