14 comments
169 forecasters
Will WHO add another SARS-CoV-2 variant to their Variants of Concern in 2022?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Authors:
Opened:Dec 27, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolved:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 29, 2021
How many named variants of SARS-COV-2 in its first 10 years?
18 variants
(15.3 - 23.4)
18 variants
(15.3 - 23.4)
18 forecasters
Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?
15% chance
9
Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?
1% chance
226