Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
36
159
forecasters
18
36 comments
159 forecasters
2022 Scott Alexander predictions
6 more...
Will any US state decriminalize or legalize a major psychedelic drug in 2022?
Follow
share
embed
Resolved
Yes
Timeline
Histogram
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (36)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
7 comments
45 forecasters
US States Decriminalizing Psilocybin by 2027
Current estimate
4.41 states
15 comments
41 forecasters
States with legal Psilocybin by 2045
Current estimate
22.6 states
6 comments
756 forecasters
FDA-approved psilocybin therapy in 2026?
20%
chance
4 comments
57 forecasters
Psilocybin not schedule I < 2036
75%
chance
33 comments
183 forecasters
Psilocybin Approved for Anxiety by 2027
40%
chance
16 comments
30 forecasters
Countries that decriminalize Schedule I drugs by 2070?
Current estimate
59.2 countries
4 comments
20 forecasters
Marijuana rescheduled before 2030?
90%
chance
23 comments
91 forecasters
Marijuana Legalization in Republican States
90%
chance