Question

What will be the maximum 7 day weekly average of COVID cases in the US between January 1, 2022 to April 1, 2022?

Resolved:806.486k

14 comments14

Total Forecasters48

Community Prediction

814k

(794k - 850k)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	<100k	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>1M
community	0.1%	794.3k	813.5k	850.1k	7.5%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<100k	0.1%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	794.3k	—
median	813.5k	—
upper 75%	850.1k	—
Upper bound
>1M	7.5%	—

What was the final result?806.486k

Community Baseline Score

69.3

Community Peer Score

46.9

Authors:

PeterWildeford

Opened:

Dec 24, 2021

Closes:

Feb 1, 2022

Resolves:

Mar 31, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 25, 2021

Health & Pandemics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

0.1%

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

117k

What will be the peak Covid-19 Hospitalization rate (new admissions per week per million) in the US in these years?

142