Question

What will be the maximum 7 day weekly average of COVID deaths in the US before 2022 April 1?

Resolved:2672

7 comments7

Total Forecasters34

Community Prediction

2499

(2283 - 2842)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	<100	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>10k
community	0.2%	2283	2499	2842	0.4%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<100	0.2%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	2283	—
median	2499	—
upper 75%	2842	—
Upper bound
>10k	0.4%	—

What was the final result?2672

Community Baseline Score

53.3

Community Peer Score

27.0

Authors:

PeterWildeford

Opened:

Dec 24, 2021

Closes:

Feb 1, 2022

Resolves:

Apr 1, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 26, 2021

Health & Pandemics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

117k

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

0.1%

What will be the peak Covid-19 Hospitalization rate (new admissions per week per million) in the US in these years?

142