Question

What will be the percentage of the 5-11 year olds vaccinated with at least one dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on January 21st, 2022?

Resolved:36

13 comments13

Total Forecasters40

Community Prediction

36.3

(35.5 - 37)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>50
community	35.49	36.27	36.98	0.8%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	35.49	—
median	36.27	—
upper 75%	36.98	—
Upper bound
>50	0.8%	—

What was the final result?36

Community Baseline Score

74.0

Community Peer Score

29.0

Authors:

srinivv

Opened:

Dec 24, 2021

Closes:

Jan 14, 2022

Resolves:

Jan 26, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 2, 2022

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making

Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 3

Health & Pandemics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2028-2029 school year?

What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2029-2030 school year?

90.5

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

43%