149 forecasters

By February 6, 2022, will the James Webb Space Telescope successfully see First Light?

96%chance

96%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 96% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 1, 2022

Closes:

Jan 25, 2022

Resolved:

Feb 3, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 1, 2022

Economy & Business

Natural Sciences

2022 Leaderboard

JWST Sees Hints of an Atmosphere on a Potentially Habitable Exoplanet

Scientific American•Sep 10, 2025

NASA’s James Webb Space Telescope captures glittering cluster of newborn stars

New York Post•Sep 6, 2025

Thousands of newborn stars dazzle in the latest snapshot by NASA’s Webb Space Telescope

Associated Press•Sep 5, 2025

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