9 comments
33 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due "other risks"?
20.6%chance
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Opened:Dec 29, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jun 16, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 30, 2021
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to naturally occuring pandemics?
9% chance
77
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?
10% chance
279
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
23.9% chance
34