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29
143
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143 forecasters
2022 Scott Alexander predictions
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How many seats will Democrats hold in the US Senate after 2022 midterm elections?
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16 comments
414 forecasters
US Senate plurality after 2026 midterms?
Democrats
47.4%
Republicans
52.5%
Other
0.1%
6 comments
54 forecasters
GOP Senate advantage after 2026 midterms?
Current estimate
0.585 seats
5 comments
114 forecasters
US Congress Control After 2026 Midterms
Dem Senate / Dem House
39.6%
Rep Senate / Rep House
10.2%
Dem Senate / Rep House
1%
Rep Senate / Dem House
49.2%
5 comments
57 forecasters
GOP House advantage after 2026 midterms?
Current estimate
-10.5 seats
28 comments
559 forecasters
US House plurality after 2026 midterms?
Democrats
86.9%
Republicans
13%
Other
0.1%
0 comments
9 forecasters
What will Dems' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on June 14, 2026?
Current estimate
7.16%
0 comments
6 forecasters
What will be the Dem Electoral College margin in 2028?
Current estimate
-0.644 votes
9 comments
75 forecasters
1st Senators from Puerto Rico both Democrats
66%
chance